Thursday, November 22, 2007


Cracking On

I've been cracking on this month, although for various reasons I didn't play a single hand before the 7th (stupid social life). The aim is to put $20,000 in play this month, and every month for a while, and see how it pans out. I think it's quite a good idea to set your target for amount of play and let the winning (or losing) take care of itself. Best results in November so far have been 3rd in the Party $500 and another win in the Stars $50 rebuy (below).

Party High Roller 3rd

Stars $50 Rebuy Win

What's really interesting about those hand playbacks is that I've had them up on PXF for a week or two and absolutely no-one has looked at them :-). When I post the links on the blog I tend to get anything up to 100 views, and usually at least 30. Which goes to show that people are still reading this, thank you. It also reassures me that not many of my regular opponents are seeking out my HHs to analyse my play (unless they read the blog too of course). The Stars 50 rebuy above is quite funny, I got it in with the worst of it constantly, and 4-handed in the final was totally LOL donkaments.

On top of playing, I've been doing some homework and checking out some other resources. Kill Everyone, as I mentioned on Facebook, arrived this week and it's good stuff. It almost makes me want to play live tournaments again. Almost. I'm trying out a few new things after reading this, or at least I did tonight, it felt good but obv you need a bit bigger sample ! It always makes me laugh watching some final table on TV where they talk about how the chip leader/winner's strategy is being vindicated by like 40 hands of play. Anyway, I've also succumbed to PocketFives, almost entirely to use the rankings for motivation. Fortunately it counts results even before you joined, so I've got a decent shot at top 10 in the UK fairly soon (16th at the mo), and hopefully top 5 in the medium term, although when you reach that level you have to put in a lot of volume.

And there's more ... I've also caught up with PAHUD, which I also tried for the first time in earnest tonight. I was concerned that this would slow everything down too much to multi-table on multiple sites, but it seems fine, and I can immediately see how this might help a lot. At the moment it's often a case of seeing after the hand how the stats could have helped me, and hoping that I do it right next time ; for example, when someone with VPIP 22/PFR 20 flat calls my raise, that would be a good time for alarm bells to go off. Then maybe I wouldn't stack off on the flop with a flush draw against (obv) Aces.

My own numbers are quite interesting, as follows :

Full Tilt - VPIP 17, PFR 12, Attempted Steal 31
Stars - 15/11, AS 31
Party - 13/9, AS 30

I'd be interested in any comments as to how those compare to other high volume players, especially the steal ratios which seem awfully high :-). It's no surprise that I'm tightest on Party ; so I should be on 10-handed tables with later/smaller antes and looser opponents. But the main thing is I'm enjoying it, more and more to be honest. Might as well crack on while that lasts.

High rollers:
78 why no cbet?
160 why no shove?
78 - I have a hand with showdown value here, but, if the whole 4K goes in I'm almost certainly beat. In this kind of spot, it's sometimes better to keep the pot small. I have a vague recollection of this hand, not really knowing what to do on the turn, and thinking afterwards that folding was a bit weak. In general, I'm almost certain to c-bet with nothing and with a hand I'm going all the way with in these spots ; but you can't overdo it, so a lot of the middle hands I will check behind.

160 - You're 100% right, this looks like a clear shove. I must have either had a brain freeze or been in the bathroom :-)

Well, I'm not sure how useful a cash game comparison is here (although, as I have said before, I believe that people overstate the differences), but over 8,000 hands on Party at $100 buy-in (which is the page I happen to have open on Pokertracker at the moment) has stats of 16.5%/13.0%, 37.0% attempts to steal blinds.

(Remember that I am normally playing afternoon and early evening, so I am up against more than the normal proportion of short-stack Germans with stats like 7%/3%) I have a 39.8% won$ when saw flop, of which I'm winning 49.5% at showdown.

Of my attempts to steal blinds, I take it down preflop 68% of the time and won without a showdown 80% of the time that a flop was seen. Only 3% of hands where I raise and a flop is seen actually go to showdown (in fact, a total of just two hands out of 279 attempted steals) , and I won both of those.

My attempted steal stats are fairly similar at other sites, although the degree of success achieved is lower (lowest on Full Tilt, about half-way between on Stars and IP Network).

I'm winning just over 2BB per hundred on Party with those numbers, BTW.

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